Tomorrow evening the Grizzlies either end their season, or they delay the inevitable and try and hold on to a little pride. The Grizzlies are now at the dreaded 0-3 precipice, from which no one has ever recovered.
Lots of fans always hold out hope that their team will be the one to change history and come back from the 0-3 deficit, and the narratives always start after at least one win to prevent the sweep. After all, Memphis just has to sweep the Spurs to win, right? Sweeps happen all the time! Well…yes, but they’d have to sweep a team who has managed to comfortably beat them three times in a row. The Grizzlies could very easily win tomorrow, but (I’m going to go ahead and try and address this now) they will not win the series. The odds of Memphis winning at this point are 1000-1 or lower.
“So you’re saying there’s hope?” No. No there is not.
Independent of the result of the series as a whole, Game 4 is going to be really close, and I have no idea who will win. Up til this point, I’ve made a big deal about the Grizzlies needing to adjust to the Spurs, but Hollins has been great about making the right adjustments from game-game-game, and Popovich has just been better about making the right adjustments in game.
I think it comes down to whether the Grizzlies feel like there’s any pride to be had in a gentleman’s sweep: if they Grizzlies feel like winning one makes a big difference, then they can absolutely win it. A motivated team, in the Grindhouse, on the brink of elimination? Yeah, they can do that. On the other hand, if they feel like one win is just as bad as no wins, then they won’t win game 4.
Personally, I don’t think that getting swept would too terrible: I think most people in the West just want the Heat to lose in the end, and a Spurs sweep would get them at least a 10 day break before the Finals start. So, Memphis getting swept might not be the worst thing in the end.
Either way, get ready, because Game 4 is coming.
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